Thursday, December 20, 2007

Fearless Predictions '08

Got an e-mail today that claims that as of December 31st, Sun Sports and FSN Florida will have aired roughly 1,060 original productions in calendar year 2007. That includes game broadcasts for six professional franchises, two major college partners, high school championships, and over 150 original studio shows, plus whatever else I'm forgetting. And no, it only *seems* like I hosted all of them.

Anyway, about that time for the annual list of Fearless Predictions. I've done this a few times before on the blog, and sometimes I'm dead-on -- in December of 2005, for example, I correctly predicted that Florida's only loss in 2006 would be on the road at Auburn. In November of last year, I picked the San Antonio Spurs to win the 2007 NBA Finals. Neither was exactly a stretch, but I get to brag on them nonetheless.

Of course, I whiff as often as I hit. In that same December 2005 entry, I predicted that the Miami Heat would get knocked out of the 2006 NBA Playoffs in the second round. Result: they won the whole enchilada. I also predicted that Sergio Garcia would win a major in '06 (wrong) and that UCF would make it a close game against the Gators when they met at the Swamp (final score: 41-0, Florida). Win some, lose some.

Not to be deterred, here's the list of Fearless Predictions for 2008. Don't bet the mortgage on any of these, but if they come true, remember where you heard it.

1. At some point in the next calendar year, Bill Parcells will become the head coach of the Miami Dolphins.

2. By the end of 2008, the Florida Marlins will either A. announce a definitive plan for a new stadium or B. announce a definitive plan to move out of South Florida.

3. The University of South Florida will win a Big East title in football, thus completing my "Big Five" theory.

4. The Tampa Bay Rays will not finish last in the American League East (I try this one every year. Call it wishful thinking).

5. The University of Miami's men's basketball team will receive an at-large bid to the NCAA Tournament. The Florida Gators will not -- but they'll have a ton of players on the SEC's All-Freshman team.

6. Bobby Bowden will still be coaching the Florida State Seminoles in 2008, and Joe Paterno will still be coaching at Penn State.

7. Tim Tebow will not win a second Heisman Trophy. However, Percy Harvin might.

8. The Orlando Magic will approach 50 wins in the regular season, make the NBA Playoffs, and win their first-round series. The Miami Heat will stage a torrid second-half rally but finish just shy of the postseason. Eastern Conference champion: Boston. Western Conference champion: San Antonio. NBA champion: San Antonio, again.

9. The Florida Panthers will snap their six-year streak of missing the Stanley Cup Playoffs. In truth, this is one of the easiest predictions on the list. The NHL's Southeast Division is there for the taking. Heck, the Cats might even win the thing (the division, not the Cup -- stay tuned).

10. Kevin Smith of UCF will lead the nation in rushing, again. He'll become a first-day NFL draft pick in 2009 and serve as a shining example of a player who returned for his senior season and made it count.

11. Florida International University will win more than one football game. That's as far as I'm prepared to go at this time.

12. Florida Atlantic University will repeat as Sun Belt Conference football champs, scoring at least one ridiculous upset along the way -- I'm looking hard at the 2008 season opener at Michigan State.

13. Tiger Woods will win two majors in 2008. I'm leaning toward the Masters and the US Open, which is a "home game" for Woods at Torrey Pines in his native California. The British Open at Royal Birkdale is a toss-up -- the last two British Open champions on that course were Mark O'Meara and Ian Baker-Finch. In keeping with the recent tradition of apostrophes and/or dashes in the surname, the 2008 British Open champ at Royal Birkdale will be Sean O'Hair, Nick O'Hern, or Per-Ulrik Johansson. The 2008 PGA Championship is at Bloomfield Hills in Michigan, so I'll give it to Florida resident and car freak Stuart Appleby or Miguel Angel Jimenez, whose nickname on Tour is "The Mechanic."

14. My handicap will never be as low as I think it should be.

15. I'm going to lose those final ten pounds, learn how to play a musical instrument, take up yoga, write the Great American Novel, become a better father and husband, and accomplish all those other New Year's resolutions that we make after one too many adult beverages. No, really, I mean it. Check back with me in 2008.

In the meantime, have a restful holiday.

6 Critiques:

Anonymous Anonymous said...

If you're going to reference you "Big 5 Theory" then you need to update that theory. It's pretty out-dated. There's a lot that has happened this year. It's more like the big 2 now: UF and USF. Seems like the others have fallen off the face of the college football earth.

12/21/2007 8:42 AM

 
Anonymous Anonymous said...

If you are implying that USF is lacking because UCF won it's conference, and is therefore part of the "Big 5," and USF is not because it hasn't won, then I believe you are off track. Conference USA was ranked at the bottom by Sagarin, so how does winning that make UCF one of the "Big 5," yet USF has to win the Big East (ranked second by Sagarin) in order to be part of the fraternity? Doesn't make sense, except to expose your bias.

12/21/2007 1:44 PM

 
Blogger Whit Watson said...

Dear "Anonymous,"

No worries -- as I've said many times on "College Kickoff" and "Tailgate Overtime," South Florida is already there. However, the rest of the Big Five all have one thing in common: they have all won a conference title and/or a national championship. I'm sure USF is close. Their lack of a Big East title doesn't exclude them from any conversation.

Thing is, most of the responses I get from USF fans point to the school's inclusion in a BCS conference as "proof" that the program has arrived. That's fine, and I won't argue it, but you can't have it both ways -- if being in a BCS conference is reason enough to include the team in a "Big Five," you can't logically complain about me pointing out that they've never actually *won* that conference, nor can you penalize UCF for winning their (non-BCS) conference. There's room at the Big Five table for everyone. The method of entry may differ, however.

Have a great holiday.

12/21/2007 11:24 PM

 
Blogger Matt said...

Whit:

I wish you all the best from a far far land. Sorry that I could not tag on as much as I wished to.

Matt

12/23/2007 7:05 AM

 
OpenID yesner20 said...

Whit...

I am thoroughly disappointed in you... there is a Big 6 in the state of Florida... Florida Atlantic is there and we proved it this year... we played South Florida extremely close at Lockhart (proof of that is no USF fan seems to want to talk about that game)... we are in our SEVENTH year of existence and we have already won a bowl game - something UCF still has not done... CBSSportsLine.com has us rated 58th in the nation and Miami 86th... I understand we don't have the history or tradition of UF, FSU, UM, UCF or USF, but we are there and there is a Big 6 in the state of Florida!

GO OWLS!
2007 New Orleans Bowl Champions!!

12/27/2007 12:32 AM

 
Anonymous ThemGatorBoysAreHot said...

I guess your prediction on Kevin Smith won't come true because he did declare for the NFL draft. I'm happy for him though, a running back can only take so much wear and tear.

1/18/2008 12:31 AM

 

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